How much money should Gerry, in his 70s, have in equities, bonds and cash?
How much money should Gerry, in his 70s, have in equities, bonds and cash?

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Q. I am in my late-70s and retired, and my wife and I have accumulated sufficient retirement savings to live comfortably for the remainder of our lives. The market value of our combined retirement investments (non-registered, registered, tax-free savings account, etc.) fluctuates daily but is currently sufficient to provide us with ample funds to cover us for the remainder of our lives.
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Here is my dilemma. The large majority of our investments are in solid blue-chip Canadian stocks (mostly the Top Six banks and utilities) that have historically never missed dividend payments for periods between 50 and 160 years. These form the basis of our income funds. However, the market value is fluctuating significantly given the current geopolitical factors, including the unsettling tariff situation and the war in the Middle East. And there is always a risk that the markets will drop drastically.
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Would it be wise to essentially cash in all our investments and place all resultant funds in predictable, risk-free investments such as guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) to retain the value of our principal, with the realization that we would be negatively affected from a taxation standpoint (dividends versus income)? Despite this tax increase liability we would still have sufficient after-tax dollars remaining to continue our current lifestyle. Should we switch to a safe haven or stay the course? —Gerry
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FP Answers: Gerry, it sounds to me like you are asking the age-old question: How much money should I have in equities, bonds and cash? Often, the mix is determined by answering a few questions on a risk tolerance questionnaire, which is sometimes completed in the absence of, or prior to, investment education and financial planning.
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Let’s go back to basics and ask why anyone would want to invest in equities. The simple answer is because over time equities have earned rates of return higher than the rate of inflation. The goal with equities is to protect and enhance your purchasing power over time so that as the price of milk and everything else goes up you can continue to afford them. Of course there will be times when equity markets crash before eventually recovering to new highs, but that is the emotional price you must pay to get good long-term returns.
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Your bonds, GICs and cash are there to protect your capital. With a million dollars, say, invested in cash, you will never have less than a million dollars and you don’t have to worry about a market crash. What you should worry about is whether you will be able to afford the rising price of milk and everything else. As an example, from 1982 to about 2015, U.S. government long bonds provided close to equity-like returns after inflation. A lump sum purchase into the same bond portfolio in 2008 over 16 years to 2024 earned zero per cent after inflation and before taxes. From 1927 to 1981, over 54 years, the average after-inflation, before-tax return was -0.2 per cent. Yes, you still have the value of your initial investment, but what can it buy? I remember my grandmother, who was born in 1909, saying the biggest change she saw over her lifetime was the value of the dollar.